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INTELSIM

INTELSIM PLATFORM - SIMULATION LIBRARY

The IntelSim
Simulation Library

Each simulation is built around a real or realistic case, populated with primary source materials, and designed to practice one or more structured analytic techniques under time pressure.

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19 simulations
NATIONAL SECURITY

Mafia Mayhem

Three-Round Intelligence Analysis Exercise

A powerful organized crime family is in internal crisis. Serious tensions have developed between the family's leadership and a rival crew within the organization - driven by policy disputes that threaten millions in annual revenue and a recent shift in the family's power structure that has removed the one figure capable of keeping the peace. Working through three rounds of intelligence reports spanning HUMINT, SIGINT, physical surveillance, and financial intelligence, your team will apply structured analytical techniques to assess the threat landscape, identify the most probable actors, and test the assumptions underlying your analysis.

ACHKey Assumptions Check
NATIONAL SECURITY

Cuban Missile Crisis

Multi-INT Crisis Analysis — October 1962

October 16, 1962 — 0900 Hours. A U-2 reconnaissance mission over western Cuba has returned with photographs analyzed overnight by the National Photographic Interpretation Center. The findings are alarming: what appear to be Soviet medium-range ballistic missile sites under construction near San Cristóbal.

Source CredibilityKey Assumptions CheckSynthesis
BUSINESS

Middle Earth Market Entry

A Cross-Functional Market Entry Business Exercise

Your company — Middle Earth Rings and Things — is preparing to enter one of four candidate markets: Rivendell, Mordor, Rohan, or Gondor. The board has allocated $1 million for the market entry investment.

Bias IdentificationSynthesis
BUSINESS

Middle Earth Market Entry — Small Group

A structured analytical exercise in market selection

Teams of three analysts advise CEO Bilbo Baggins on which of three candidate regional markets should enter.

SynthesisKey Assumptions Check
NATIONAL SECURITY

Yom Kippur War

Analyzing threats under conditions of Groupthink

Following Israel's decisive victory in the 1967 Six-Day War, Israel occupies the Sinai Peninsula and the eastern bank of the Suez Canal — seized from Egypt — and the Golan Heights, seized from Syria. Both Arab states regard these losses as a national humiliation and a strategic emergency. They have spent six years rebuilding their militaries with Soviet assistance, conducting intensive combined-arms training, and deploying a dense Soviet-supplied surface-to-air missile network along the Canal.

Bias IdentificationDevil's AdvocacyKey Assumptions Check
NATIONAL SECURITY

Country Alpha in Crisis

Network Mapping, Threat Assessment, and Disruption Analysis

Country Alpha has emerged from a destabilizing civil war. The nation's dominant political leader (designated CRUISE) has consolidated significant personal power, generating both loyalty and resentment among the political establishment. Factional tensions are unresolved.

network analysisstructured brainstormingDeception Detection
BUSINESS

Save the City

Structured brainstorming and idea generation to supply a city under blockade

Sector Alpha is a district of approximately 2 million people fully encircled by a hostile power, Sector Omega. Sector Omega has severed every supply route — land, sea, and air. Sector Alpha has 30 days of supplies on hand.

structured brainstormingSynthesis
BUSINESS

Save the City (Process Comparison)

Three-round creativity exercise designed to isolate the effect of group collaboration and structured process on idea generation and evaluation.

Sector Alpha is a district of approximately 2 million people fully encircled by a hostile power, Sector Omega. Sector Omega has severed every supply route — land, sea, and air. Sector Alpha has 30 days of supplies on hand.

structured brainstormingSynthesis
BUSINESS

Cleared for Landing

An Aviation Coordination Exercise

Cleared for Landing places participants in the roles of Pilot, Flight Engineer, and Ground Control as they coordinate an aircraft approach under progressively degrading conditions. No single role holds complete information — safe outcomes depend entirely on how accurately and efficiently the team shares what each person can see.

Synthesis
BUSINESS

Kelvari Strait Crisis

Strategic Supply Chain Simulation

Teams represent the leadership of competing fabless semiconductor firms navigating a disrupted global supply chain. Each round, teams submit a sealed Course of Action. An AI Adjudicator resolves all submissions simultaneously against the evolving world state. Teams that reason well about second-order effects and competitor behavior outperform teams that react to surface signals or follow the crowd.

Synthesis
NATIONAL SECURITY

Threat Assessment: Operation RAGNAROK

Indicators, Warnings, and the Limits of Requirements-Driven Analysis

You are an analyst inside the Vantian Federation's State Security Directorate (SSD). The Federation and the rival Ardenic Alliance are locked in an intense strategic standoff, each capable of inflicting catastrophic damage on the other. The Alliance has adopted openly confrontational rhetoric, deployed a forward short-flight-time missile system, and announced a missile-defense program. Federation leadership fears these may be the precursors to a surprise first strike.

indicators warningsBias IdentificationKey Assumptions Check
NATIONAL SECURITY

Crossing the Yalu

Estimating Chinese intervention in Korea, autumn 1950

In autumn 1950 the Korean War appeared nearly won. After the Inchon landing in September, United Nations forces broke the North Korean army, recrossed the 38th parallel, and drove north toward the Yalu River, the border with the People's Republic of China. The central question facing the U.S. Intelligence Community was whether China would intervene to stop them, and if so at what scale and toward what objective. The contemporaneous record was rich and contradictory. Through the Indian ambassador Panikkar, Zhou Enlai warned on 3 October that China would send troops if U.S. forces crossed the parallel. The State Department's Office of Chinese Affairs (Clubb) repeatedly cautioned that the warning could not safely be dismissed as a bluff. The British Foreign Office judged intervention unlikely on balance but possible. By early November, Chinese troops were confirmed in contact, multiple Fourth Field Army units were identified, and roughly 700,000 Chinese troops, including at least 200,000 regular field forces, were assessed in Manchuria. Yet the prevailing estimates discounted full intervention. The 12 October ORE found no convincing indication of intent and judged intervention not probable in 1950. On 1 November the Director of Central Intelligence told the President the most likely Chinese aim was a limited cordon sanitaire to protect the Suiho hydroelectric zone. NIE-2 on 8 November acknowledged confirmed intervention but framed the objective as limited. As late as 24 November, NIE-2/1 still held that activity so far was not sufficient to demonstrate a plan for major offensive operations. At Wake Island on 15 October, MacArthur told the President the U.S. was no longer fearful of Chinese intervention. Then, between 24 and 28 November, China struck in force. Roughly thirty divisions, far beyond the twelve the Far East Command had estimated, routed Eighth Army and X Corps and triggered the longest retreat in U.S. military history. The case is a textbook study because the failure was primarily analytic, not a failure of collection.

Key Assumptions CheckDevil's AdvocacyBias Identification
COMING SOON
NATIONAL SECURITY

Soviet Leadership Succession

KGB Intelligence Assessment — Post-Chernenko Transition

Analysts assess Kremlin succession dynamics following the death of Konstantin Chernenko in March 1985. Multiple factions compete for influence as Mikhail Gorbachev consolidates power — a pivotal moment in Cold War history with profound strategic implications.

ACHKey Assumptions Check
COMING SOON
NATIONAL SECURITY

Iran Hostage Crisis

Crisis Assessment — US Embassy Takeover, November 1979

Iranian student militants seize the US Embassy in Tehran and take 52 American diplomats hostage. Analysts must assess Iranian government intent, the likelihood of a negotiated release, and the risk of prolonged captivity — under acute time pressure.

ACHKey Assumptions Check
COMING SOON
NATIONAL SECURITY

Operation Fortitude

Red Team Analysis — German Deception Assessment, 1944

Teams adopt the perspective of German OKW intelligence analysts in the spring of 1944. Using available indicators, they must assess Allied invasion intent and likely landing sites — working with the same fragmentary, heavily manipulated intelligence available to German counterparts.

Red Team AnalysisDeception Detection
COMING SOON
NATIONAL SECURITY

Yom Kippur War

Retrospective Analysis — Arab Coalition Surprise Attack, October 1973

Israeli and US intelligence agencies received extensive warning indicators prior to the Egyptian-Syrian surprise attack on October 6, 1973. Analysts examine the pre-war intelligence record and diagnose how analytic assumptions, political pressure, and confirmation bias produced one of the most consequential warning failures in modern history.

Post-MortemACHBias Identification
COMING SOON
BUSINESS

Corporate Intelligence Failure

Strategic Warning Failure — Competitive Threat Assessment

A mid-market technology firm faces an aggressive competitive move from a well-funded disruptor. Analysts must assess the competitor's strategic intent, likely product roadmap, and market timing — with incomplete information and competing hypotheses — to inform a critical board-level decision.

ACHKey Assumptions Check
COMING SOON
BUSINESS

Organized Fraud: The Insider Threat

Business Intelligence Analysis — Internal Threat Assessment

Anomalous financial patterns and behavioral indicators suggest a coordinated insider threat within a financial services firm. Analysts must synthesize HR, financial, access log, and HUMINT reporting to assess whether an organized fraud scheme is underway — before the firm's next regulatory audit.

ACHSource Credibility
COMING SOON
BUSINESS

Disinformation Campaign

Red Team Analysis — Strategic Influence Operation

Teams adopt the perspective of a hostile actor conducting a strategic disinformation campaign against a multinational corporation. By designing the operation themselves, analysts develop an intuitive understanding of how influence operations work — and how to detect and counter them.

Red Team AnalysisDeception Detection

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